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Tip Bermain Forex untuk Pemula

November 27, 2011 Leave a comment

ForexTip Forex trading yang penting bagi pemula adalah dengan menggunakan account demo ketika Anda pertama kali memulai trading forex online. Gunakan akun demo perdagangan forex (fx) untuk tiga bulan pertama sebelum Anda memulai trading dengan uang sungguhan. Banyak perusahaan seperti Deutsche Bank, Marketiva, MetaTrader dsb akan memberikan demo account gratis hinggs $50.000.

Ini adalah tip penting untuk mengatur dan menghitung Anda pada rekening demo forex trading. Membiasakan diri dengan perangkat lunak dan platform. Hal ini penting untuk hanya belajar satu atau dua dari pasangan mata uang utama; pasangan mata uang utama adalah yang terbaik untuk mengikuti karena mereka adalah yang paling liquid (mudah dan sangat tren ke arah perubahan nilainya).

Tip lain untuk perdagangan forex adalah untuk mendapatkan merasakan gerakan pasangan mata uang yang dipilih, selalu menggunakan demo account fx sampai Anda siap untuk maju ke uang riil. Misalnya, pasangan USD/GBP bisa sangat sibuk pada sesi pagi Eropa tapi tenang setelah pasar Amerika benar-benar masuk ke dalam ayunan penuh. Belajar dan mendapatkan nuansa untuk ini dan tren seperti lainnya sebelum Anda memulai trading dengan uang sungguhan.

Cara terbaik untuk perdagangan forex adalah untuk mengkonfirmasi tren. Sebuah tren dikonfirmasi dengan melihat grafik, sebuah proses yang dikenal sebagai analisis teknis. Banyak pedagang membuat bisnis mereka untuk meramalkan di mana pasar sebelum hal itu terjadi dan perdagangan yang sesuai. Ini sangat penting dan tip penting untuk forex trading. Maka ini diperlukan fundamental analisis.

Tergantung atas apa kerangka waktu Anda ingin mengambil posisi strategis, akan membuat perbedaan besar bagi strategi Anda secara keseluruhan, oleh karena ujung lain perdagangan forex adalah jika Anda mengambil posisi dalam jangka pendek, mungkin satu minggu sampai satu bulan maka Anda tidak benar-benar ingin melihat grafik jangka panjang. Maka menetapkan posisi jangka waktu anda dipengaruhi oleh waktu luang anda atau keinginan total keuntungan anda. Semua jangka waktu punya karakteristik dan model analisa spesifik.

Kesiapan yang paling penting di dalam main Forex adalah sikap dan jiwa. Jangan tamak dan tagang karena itu akan membuat malapetaka analisa Anda. Banyak orang kehilangan banyak uangnya karena dia TAMAK. Jadi bermain forex juga membuat anda semakin bijaksana. 🙂 Good Luck!

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Economic Calendar for week 6th – 10th April 2009

**Note: All times GMT, not DST**

PLEASE NOTE – All times GMT

Monday April 6th:

EU -08:30 – Sentix Investor Confidence.
EU -09:00 – Retail Sales M/M.
EU – 09:00 – PPI M/M.
US – 17:00 – FOMC Member Warsh Speaks.

Tuesday April 7th

UK – 08:30 – Manufacturing Production M/M.
UK – 08:30 – Industrial Production M/M.
US – 14:00 – IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism.
US -19:00 – Consumer Credit M/M.
UK – 23:01 – Nationwide Consumer Confidence.
UK – 23:01 – NIESR GDP Estimate.

Wednesday April 8th

GE – 06:00 – Trade Balance.
FR – 06:45 – Trade Balance. .
UK – 09:30 – BRC Shop Price Index Y/Y.
GE – 10:00 – German Factory Orders M/M.
US – 14:00 – Wholesale Inventories M/M..
UK – 14:30 – Crude Oil Inventories.
US – 18:00 – FOMC Meeting Mintues.

Thursday April 9th

GE – 06:00 – Final CPI M/M.
EU – 08:00 – ECB Monthly Bulletin.
UK – 08:30 – PPI Input M/M.
UK – 08:30 – PPI Output M/M.
UK – 08:30 – Trade Balance.
UK – 09:00 – CB Leading Index M/M.
GE – 10:00 – Industrial Production M/M.
UK – 11:00 – Official Bank Rate.
UK – 11:00 – MPC Rate Statement.
US – 12:30 – Trade Balance.
US – 12:30 – Unemployment Claims.
US – 12:30 – Import Prices M/M..
US – 14:30 – Natural Gas Storage.

Friday April 10th

Bank Holiday EU/ FR/ GE/ UK

FR – 06:45 – Industrial Production M/M.
FR – 06:45 – CPI M/M.
FR – 06:45 – Gov Budget Balance.
US – 18:00 – Federal Budget Balance.

EU – Europe wide
FR – France
UK – United Kingdom
US – United States
GE – Germany

The week ahead.

US markets closed Friday up around 1%, which in the context of recent volatility is not really much to write home about. Recently, US markets have had an average trading range of 2% per day, which is actually down on the recent peak of 4% per day. In volatility terms, things seem to be quietening down, and this is usually a positive for equities which loath the unknown more than bad news. When the economic data becomes more predictable, markets can move to price in bad news, as appears to have happened today.

Markets finished up on Friday, which is not what one would have automatically expected from the release of the highest US unemployment numbers for 25 years. Wednesdays ADP job numbers gave traders a reasonable steer on Fridays data, so traders werent entirely shocked by the announcement. Fridays job numbers were very weak though, theres no getting away from that. What is most concerning is acceleration in unemployment. Anecdotally many people across the world have been saying the saying the same thing the shocking thing about this global recession is how quickly things have developed to point of near depression levels. In the US 5.1 million jobs have been lost since the recession started, but two thirds of these happened in the last 5 months. It would seem that this has been a similar pattern across the world. With Thursdays agreement from the G20 to inject huge sums of cash into the global economy, world governments are hoping to stem the speed of the collapse at the very least.

Elsewhere, the long awaiting FASB announcement on Mark to market accounting rules were released with positive implications for the banks. Some analysts believe the rules changes could increase banks net income by 20% or more. In addition to this, news that the UK government has agreed to back some of RBSs business loans and the decision by Barclays to not participate in the governments asset protection scheme made it a good week for financial overall.

There was mixed news on the UK housing market with the Nationwide saying house prices rose nearly 1% in March, but Halifax saying that prices dropped 1% in March. The differences underline the volatility in month to month housing data.

The ECB ruffled some feathers by cutting rates in the eurozone by just 0.25% to 1.25. Trichet commented that rates could still go lower in coming months, but the ECBs adoption of a ZIRP policy is noticeably slower than the UK and US. Although businesses would have appreciated lower rates, investors seem to have interpreted the ECBs action as meaning that the European economy is in better shape than many thought. The news fueled a rally in the euro against the yen and dollar, but it is the pound that was last weeks strongest performer overall. Sterling rose against all major currencies over last week.
Next weeks economic highlights include rate decisions from the Bank of Japan and Royal bank of Australia on Tuesday, followed by rate statement from the MPC on Thursday. Analysts are currently expecting no changed from any of these meetings. In addition the minutes from the last FOMC meeting are released on Wednesday. Thursday also brings UK PPI and US trade balance figures. Friday is a bank holiday for most countries.

Gold has remained in a relatively tight trading range over the last month or so a break out could be overdue.

A One Touch trade predicting that Gold/USD will hit $850 at any point during the next 9 days could return 209% at BetOnMarkets.

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ADP Private Sector AS Bulan Maret Turun, Jauh Melebihi Prediksi

Lembaga Statistik Tenaga Kerja AS, ADP, pada hari ini (1/4) melaporkan bahwa data jumlah tenaga kerja di sektor swasta pada bulan Maret mengalami penurunan. Berdasarkan data tersebut diketahui bahwa jumlah pekerja sektor swasta turun sebesar 742.000. Jumnlah penurunan tersebut melebihi prediksi yang dilakukan sebelumnya oleh para ekonom yang hanya sebesar 673.000.

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Bonus 3% untuk Forex kami diperpanjang

Untuk mendukung lomba trading forex dari FXDirectDealer,LLC yang berhadiah
utama US$100,000 (Rp.1 Milyar lebih) atau Mobil mewah Maserati di bulan
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Dapatkan extra tambahan langsung uang cash di account trading anda untuk
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Kami mengadakan LOMBA FOREX Dunia berhadiah 1 MILYAR atau Mobil Maserati

February 22, 2009 2 comments

Kami GainScope.com bersama mitra FXDirectDealer mengadakan LOMBA TRADING FOREX
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Economic Calendar for week 16th – 20th February 2009

February 17, 2009 Leave a comment

PLEASE NOTEAll times GMT

Monday February 16th:

USALLPresident’s Day. Bank Holiday.
UK00:01Rightmove HPI M/M.
UK
14:00MPC Member Bean Speaks.
UK 14:00FOMC Member Duke Speaks.

Tuesday February 17th:

UK – 09:30 CPI Y/Y.
UK – 09:30 Core CPI Y/Y.
UK – 09:30 DCLG HPI Y/Y.
UK – 09:30 RPI Y/Y.
GE10:00 ZEW Economic Sentiment.
EU 10:00 ZEW Economic Sentiment.
EU 10:00 Trade Balance.
US – 13:30Empire State Manufacturing Index.
US – 14:00TIC Long-Term Purchases.
US – 18:00NAHB Housing Market Index.
UK – 18:30MPC Member Besley Speaks

Wednesday February 18th:

UK 09:30MPC Meeting Minutes.
UK 11:00CBI Industrial Order Expectations.
US 13:30Building Permits.
US 13:30Housing Starts.
US 13:30Import Prices M/M.
US 14:15Capacity Utilization Rate.
US 14:15Industrial Production M/M.
US 18:00Fed Chairman Bernanke Speaks.
US 18:30FOMC Member Evans Speaks.
US 19:00FOMC Meeting Minutes.

Thursday February 19th:

UK 09:30Public Sector Net Borrowing.
UK 09:30Prelim M4 Money Supply M/M.
US13:30PPI M/M.
US13:30Core PPI M/M.
US13:30Unemployment Claims.
US – 15:00Philly Fed Manufacturing Index.
US – 15:00CB Leading Index M/M.
US – 15:30Natural Gas Storage.
US – 16:00Crude Oil Inventories.
UK – 17:00MPC Member Gieve Speaks.
US – 18:15FOMC Member Lockhart Speaks.

Friday February 20th:

FR – 07:45CPI M/M.
FR – 08:00Flash Manufacturing PMI.
FR – 08:00Flash Services PMI.
GE – 08:30Flash Manufacturing PMI.
GE – 08:30Flash Services PMI.
EU – 09:00Flash Manufacturing PMI.
EU – 09:00Flash Services PMI.
UK – 09:30Retail Sales M/M.
US – 13:30Core CPI M/M.
US – 13:30 CPI M/M.

EU – Europe wide
FR –
France
UK –
United Kingdom
US –
United States
GE – Germany

The week ahead.

After a terrible Tuesday, markets never really recovered last week. After rallying into Treasury Secretary Geithner’s speech on Tuesday, US markets unwound in spectacular fashion. It appears to have been a case of markets expecting clarity from the new US administration, and getting nothing of the sort. The Dow Jones touched its lowest levels since November 2008 at one point.

Whether it was a case of ‘sell the news’ or a technical sell off, there’s no getting away from the fact that yesterday’s fall will have left central bankers and government officials cursing.

The rule book is being re-written by the week, as officials try one solution after another. Much was made of Bernanke’s expertise on the Great Depression, and arguably his dramatic interventions have helped stave off a financial apocalypse. However, right now it’s a blank slate, the scary thing about the current crisis is that nobody really knows how bad it will get, and when it will turn around.

Lloyds Group threw the markets another banking cluster bomb on Friday; seemingly out of nowhere Lloyds announced a £7bn write-down in HBOS’s corporate division. The shares closed the day down nearly a third on the news. According to CEO Eric Daniels, these losses reflect the application of a more conservative recognition of risk, and the further deterioration in the economic environment. Analysts at JP Morgan wrote a note the previous day saying “If the regulator were to require a more ‘comprehensive’ stress buffer, given that none of the banks have raised capital since, it would probably require them all coming to market, and probably requiring government capital.” (Cited in http://ftalphaville.ft.com). Judging by the HBOS announcement and the market’s reaction, JP Morgan may not be far off the mark.

Another concern was the data released from the ECB which stated that borrowing from the marginal lending facility hit 10.4 billion Euros, well above recent averages and the highest since November 10th. It may be a blip, but this lending spike could imply that a major bank is in trouble. Irish banks are seeking recapitalisation and UK banks are thought to making use of the ECB’s facilities as well as their European counterparts.

Bank of England Governor King, warned that Britain is in a ‘deep recession’ with the rate of contraction potentially reaching as high as 6%. Exactly where a deep recession becomes a depression is up for debate, and perhaps such a label can only be applied in retrospect. Markets are taking each day and each economic announcement as they come, with the unfortunate result being a continuation of short term volatility. Still, markets have held above the November lows for now. If these levels fail, it could be the defining point of 2009 for world stock markets.

Oil continues to drop as global economic activity falters. On the other hand gold is on the rise and pushing back up towards $1000, as investors seek out safe havens while stock markets gyrate and central banks scour their text books for the next plan of action.

Next week’s top trading events are the release of the MPC meeting minutes on Wednesday. Analysts will be looking for clues as to the likelihood of further cuts towards zero for UK interest rates. Later that afternoon we have Fed chairman Bernanke speaking, followed by the release of the FOMC meeting minutes. Following the same theme, the Bank of Japan announced their overnight call rate in the early hours of Thursday. There is unlikely to be any movement, but the following press conference could spark some volatility as traders react to any additional central bank interventions.

Last week oil fell to around $35 a barrel, yet oil majors such as BP managed to hold up relatively well. A No Touch trade predicting that BP won”t touch £4.60 at any time during the next two months (60 days) could return 62% at BetOnMarkets.

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Economic Calendar for week 24th – 28th November 2008

November 25, 2008 Leave a comment

PLEASE NOTE – All times GMT

Monday November 24th:

GE – 09:00 – Ifo Business Climate.
EU – 09:00 – Current Account.
EU – 10:00 – Industrial New Orders M/M.
US – 15:00 – Existing Home Sales.
US – 15:30 – Annual Pre-Budget Report.

Tuesday November 25th:

GE – 07:00 – Gfk Consumer Climate.
GE – 07:00 – Final GDP Q/Q.
UK – 09:30 – BBA Mortgage Approvals.
UK – 09:30 – Prelim Business Investment Q/Q.
UK – 09:45 – MPC Treasury Committee Hearings.
US – 13:30 – Prelim GDP Q/Q.
US – 13:30 – Prelim GDP Price Index Q/Q.
US – 14:00 – S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI Y/Y.
US – 15:00 – CB Consumer Confidence.
US – 15:00 – HPI M/M.
US – 15:00 – Richmond Manufacturing Index.

Wednesday November 26th:

GE – 07:00 – Prelim CPI M/M.
GE – 07:00 – Import Prices M/M.
UK – 09:30 – Revised GDP Q/Q.
UK – 09:30 – Index of Services Q/Q.
US – 13:30 – Core Durable Goods Orders M/M.
US – 13:30 – Durable Goods Orders M/M.
US – 13:30 – Core PCE Price Index M/M.
US – 13:30 – Personal Spending M/M.
US – 13:30 – Personal Income M/M.
US – 13:30 – Unemployment Claims.
US – 14:45 – Chicago PMI.
US – 14:55 – Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment.
US – 14:55 – Revised UoM Consumer Expectations.
US – 15:00 – New Home Sales.
US – 15:35 – Crude Oil Inventories.
US – 17:00 – Natural Gas Storage.

Thursday November 27th:

US – ALL – Thanks Giving Bank Holiday.
UK – Tentative – Nationwide HPI M/M.
GE – 08:55 – Unemployment Change.
EU – 09:00 – M3 Money Supply Y/Y.
EU – 09:00 – Private Loans Y/Y.
EU – 10:00 – Consumer Confidence.

Friday November 28th:

UK – 00:01- GfK Consumer Confidence.
EU – 10:00 – CPI Flash Estimate Y/Y.
EU – 10:00 – Unemployment rate.
UK – 11:00 – CBI Realised Sales.

EU – Europe wide
FR – France
UK – United Kingdom
US – United States
GE – Germany

The week ahead.

Last week US equities ended a volatile week with big rallies on Friday, but these only came after the benchmark S&P 500 index had plunged to levels not seen for over a decade on Thursday. Despite Friday’s 6%+ rallies on the Dow Jones and S&P 500, those markets still finished the week down 5.31% and 8.39% respectively. After months of bailouts, mini rallies, rate cuts, and false dawns, investors threw in the towel. On Thursday, there was a panicked flight to quality, as the yield on the shortest term US treasury bonds sank to near zero. Money is flooding to what is perceived to the safest haven in these troubled times. The panic pushed investors into bonds, breaking records for that market. The yield on four-week Treasury bills fell to 0.045 %, and the three-month bill was yielding just 0.03 %, as investors rushed for safety.

The cost of insuring against investment grade companies defaulting shot up to its highest level since the crisis began. Worse still, Warren Buffet’s Berkshire Hathaway fund has seen the cost of its credit default swaps shoot to 5 times the level they traded at in June. At current levels, the CDS prices are implying that Berkshire is more likely to go bust than Morgan Stanley. When the Dow was trading around 13,000, Buffet used derivates to effectively bet that the market would be higher than this level in 15 to 20 years time. While there is still considerable time for this bet to work out, Buffet has already marked down a $6.7 billion loss on that trade. When investment ‘Gods’ such as Buffet look ready to fall, it is hardly surprising that investors are running to safe havens.

Just two months ago, the US Federal Reserve was still concerned about the “upside risks to inflation”. With last week’s 1 % decline in US consumer prices and rapid declines in UK inflation figures, we’ve gone from fears over inflation and stagflation, all the way to deflation in the space of 90 days. As a sign of the times, oil prices hit a new milestone last week. Just four months after making record highs of $147 a barrel, oil touched a low of $48.25 on Friday, a remarkable drop of 67%. The rapid demise in crude prices is having a direct impact on the Russian economy and stock market. Since May the Russian stock market has been leading other so called BRIC nations lower, with a drop of around 70% since the May highs.

Financial shares led the selling. HSBC received a broker down grade on fears of the state of its tier 1 equity ratio. HSBC was formerly at arm’s length to the rest of the banking sector with its relatively low exposure to US subprime loans. However, the ‘world’s local bank’ is now feeling the pressure due to its exposure to emerging economies, especially the troubled BRIC economies. In the US Citigroup was hit hard, losing half its value in just three days. Once the biggest US bank by market value, there is speculation that bad loans and writedowns may add up to losses totalling $20 billion for the troubled Citigroup. Some commentators point to Treasury secretary Paulson’s change of tack with regard to long directly buying toxic assets under the TARP program for sparking much of last week’s sell off.

Next week starts with the German Ifo business climate report which will analysed closely after recent announcements that many parts of the Eurozone are already in recession. US existing home sales are released at 13.00 on Monday and analysts are expecting further declines to 5.02 million from 5.18 million. Tuesday morning brings a raft of UK economic announcements with the MPC treasury committee hearing top of the list. Preliminary US GDP is announced around midday, with the revised UK figures out the next day. Thursday is an extremely busy day with a large number of US announcements. Core durable goods, unemployment claims and new home sales are the notable highlights. The rest of the trading week could be relatively quiet with many traders using Thursday Thanksgiving holiday to make a long weekend.

There is simply no telling what the market or economy might be like as we start 2009. A selloff of this speed hasn’t been seen since the 1930s, and although comparisons have often been made of late, it is worth noting that at the low points of this period, rallies, when they came were surprisingly aggressive. Barry Rithholtz last week noted that the AAII individual investor’s stock allocation was 15% below its 21 year historical average. Although not marking the exact bottom, readings of this nature were not a million miles from the lows of 1987, 1990 and 2002. With a hoard of cash waiting in the wings, there is always the possibility of this reading again marketing the bottom. However, this market has left many seasoned professionals scratching their heads as the selloff has been unlike anything seen for generations. In recent months, these markets have reached extremes of sentiment that in the past have market key turning points. The trouble is that of late, markets have continued to make new extremes way beyond previous inflection points.

One market that has been away from the headlines is gold. In the first quarter, it ran up to over $1,000, but has since retreated to just under $800. Gold was seen as a hedge against inflation and was used as a hedge against the weak dollar. With inflation on the wane and the dollar on the attack, gold has been on the retreat. However it hasn’t collapsed in the same manner than oil has and this is because gold is seen as a safe haven in times of trouble. These opposing cross winds have kept oil in a volatile trading range between $800 and $700 over the last 30 days. With gold rallying $50 alone on Friday, there is a very real chance of a break out of this range in the next 30 days. An up or down trade predicting that the price of gold in dollars (Gold/ USD in the forex menu) will touch $650 or $900 in the next 30 days could return 111%

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